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Ethena's Next Act
We examine life after the basis trade

Hi everyone. Risk sentiment deteriorated sharply across crypto this week, with altcoins bearing the brunt of the selling while BTC held up relatively well. Privacy, DeFi, and Perps were among the hardest-hit sectors as ETF outflows, geopolitical tensions, and fading rate cut expectations continued to weigh on the market. Today, we break down the latest drawdown, look at the ZEC infinite bug scare scare that rattled the privacy sector, and take a closer look at how Ethena is reinventing itself as the basis trade becomes increasingly crowded.

Today saw broad risk-off across crypto, with the privacy index the worst sector at -17.9%. Perps fell -13.5%, DeFi -12.8%, and DePIN -11.1%, yet BTC dipped just -0.8% and the S&P 500 added 0.4%. The damage concentrated in alts as crypto equities gained 3.0% and miners 1.2%, while token sectors fell 5% to 18%, and decoupling darlings ZEC and HYPE took the hardest hits.

The weekly tape was worse. BTC is down 13.4% to its lowest since February (~$63K), off about 21% over four weeks. The slide traces to 13 straight sessions of spot bitcoin ETF outflows (~$4.4 billion), Strategy's first BTC sale in years, and the US-Iran conflict lifting energy prices and pushing out Fed rate cut expectations. Only meme (+8.7%), perps (+4.3%), miners (+3.9%), and DeFi (+1.6%) held green.

Inside the privacy index the split was XMR (+6.1%) and BDX (+3.4%) held green, while RAIL sank -25.0%, DCR -19.9%, and ZEC -17.1%.

ZEC's plunge followed Zcash's disclosure of a critical Orchard counterfeiting bug. Researcher Taylor Hornby, using Anthropic's Opus 4.8 model, found an under-constrained circuit that could mint unlimited, undetectable counterfeit ZEC; it had been live since Orchard's 2022 launch and was patched in an emergency fork completed June 2. Shielded Labs deems prior exploitation unlikely but concedes Orchard's privacy makes it impossible to prove the supply was never inflated, and is weighing a new pool with turnstile accounting to verify integrity.
— Sam
Ethena’s Reinvention: Beyond the Basis Trade
The market is a brutal reminder that no matter how strong a competitive advantage appears, it rarely lasts forever. Over time, returns get competed away and the winners are often those that adapt fastest to changing conditions. Ethena finds itself at a similar crossroads today.
One of the more notable trends this year has been the steady compression in sUSDe yields. After peaking above 20% during previous periods of market euphoria, sUSDe now yields between 3.5% and 4.5%, with only brief spikes higher.

The primary reason is that the basis trade, which underpins Ethena's yield generation, has become less profitable. Bullish periods have become shorter and funding rates have normalized more quickly as institutional capital increasingly competes for the same trade. Based on Binance funding rate data, each major bullish period since the launch of BTC ETFs in early 2024 has produced progressively lower returns for delta neutral strategies.

Lower yields have also weighed on demand. Ethena's TVL has fallen from a peak of $16.6 billion in September 2025 to $5.6 billion today, with part of the decline accelerated by the October market liquidation event that triggered roughly $1.9 billion of USDe redemptions in just 48 hours. While Ethena remained solvent throughout the stress event, users appear increasingly selective about the risks they are willing to take for yield.

As basis trade returns have converged closer to T-bill yields, Ethena has already diversified significantly, with around 92% of reserves now held in stablecoins and deployed across lending markets and incentive programs. Capital has increasingly been allocated to opportunities on ecosystems such as MegaETH, Plasma and Solana in an effort to maintain attractive yields.

The shift is unlikely to stop there. In April 2026, Ethena proposed broadening its backing beyond the traditional crypto basis trade into additional yield generating strategies including institutional lending, RWAs beyond T-bills, as well as equity and commodity basis trades. The goal is straightforward: reduce reliance on a single source of yield and improve returns during periods when crypto funding markets are less attractive.
The result is that Ethena increasingly looks less like a pure basis trade product and more like an actively managed yield vault allocating capital across opportunities both inside and outside crypto. Whether these new strategies can offset the continued decline in basis trade returns remains one of the key questions for the protocol going forward.
— Kunal

Toma published Lightspeed's May Solana update, arguing a flat SOL masked a standout month for applications. App revenue rose 16% MoM to $68 million, led by Pump ($34 million, half the total) and a record $9 million from Collector Crypt, whose CARDS token rallied ~150%. SOL ETP inflows accelerated to $110.6 million from April's depressed $17.8 million.
Early signs of risk appetite returned: Memecoin volumes overtook stablecoin swaps for the first time since January, and tokenized assets set a volume record above $1.1 billion. The value-accrual debate centers on SIMD 547 and SIMD 550 as complementary paths to closing net emissions.
The announcement argues that Solana’s biggest opportunity is not just bringing traditional assets onchain, but making virtually any asset tradable. Meteora and Sunrise are partnering to create “dynamic assets” using Solana’s liquidity and distribution infrastructure to tokenize everything from collectibles to niche real-world assets that are difficult to trade elsewhere. The first example is $SV151, a tokenized vehicle backed by Pokémon Scarlet & Violet 151 card packs, with capital raised to acquire packs and trading fees used to grow the reserve over time. More broadly, the vision is to turn Solana into the default marketplace for internet native capital markets built around unconventional assets.
The piece highlights three crypto protocols experimenting with genuinely novel mechanisms rather than repackaging existing ideas. Pearl replaces traditional mining with AI computation, aiming to make network security and AI inference the same activity, with token emissions subsidizing compute costs. TIG creates a market for algorithmic innovation by rewarding developers whose optimization techniques are adopted by network participants, effectively turning algorithms into investable assets. Prism embeds liquidity provision directly into the token itself, allowing holders to earn trading fees automatically while a deflationary NFT mechanism increases fee ownership for remaining participants over time.
The broader thesis is that crypto’s most interesting opportunities may come from new coordination and incentive systems rather than incremental improvements to existing financial products, though all three projects still face the challenge of achieving meaningful adoption before their token models can prove durable.



