- 0xResearch
- Posts
- đ„ 3 key 2024 onchain trends
đ„ 3 key 2024 onchain trends
Explosive growth, super users and quality challenges
Brought to you by:
As 2024 draws to a close, Flipside Crypto marked significant milestones in onchain user activity in its annual report released today. We took an early look. Plus, the Aave and Morpho feud has spread to Polygon governance choices.
Borrow / lend heavyweights:
Morpho is the most credible competitor to Aave in the EVM ecosystem. Morpho Blueâs TVL has seen a 200x growth from $11m to $2.55b year to date. In contrast, Aave grew a little over 3x over the same period. This is expected given Morphoâs early stage in its lifecycle, but still a remarkable feat in the span of 12 months.
Morphoâs fast growth is thanks to its novel modular architecture, now adopted by Euler v2 and Kamino Lend v2. Multi-asset lending pools like Aave â deemed âmonolithic lending platformsâ â enable great UX and have a unified liquidity market, but they sacrifice capital efficiency and force all users into a one-size-fits-all profile, regardless of their risk appetite.
In contrast, modular lending platforms combine a base layer primitive with high flexibility in market creation with abstraction layers on top that handle complexities to improve UX for a wide range of users. Morpho has two core layers:
Primitive layer (Morpho Blue): Infrastructure for permissionless market deployment that is flexible, ungoverned and immutable.
Modular layer (lending vaults, public allocator): Built on top of the primitive layer, this specializes in UX and risk management, aggregating liquidity across markets.
Morphoâs approach contrasts to that of Aave, where risk management for new deployments is governed by the DAO, leading to reliance on centralized entities like the ACI. While Aaveâs approach has enabled the protocol to grow securely over the years and dominate the lending landscape, it can inhibit open competition.
The Polygon bridge controversy this week is just the most recent example (more on this below). For instance, in April, Marc Zeller proposed to offboard DAI from Aave after Makerâs (now Sky) D3M allocated 500 million DAI to Ethenaâs USDe, and sUSDe markets paired with DAI â a strategy that was carried out via Morphoâs infrastructure.
â Carlos Gonzalez Campo (X: 0xcarlosg)
Key trends from 2024
Focusing on EVM chains, the Flipsideâs Onchain Users Report tracked both record growth and emerging challenges in maintaining engagement quality. Here are a few trends to watch in 2025.
Record user growth
Newly acquired users reached a record 19.4 million in October, with Base contributing 13.7m â âalmost 8x the runner-up, Polygon,ââ the report notes. This explosive growth was attributed to Coinbaseâs vast user base and Baseâs focus on âtrending sectors like memecoin trading and onchain AI via new initiatives like Based Agents.ââ
An âacquired userâ is defined as a user who has conducted at least two transactions in 2024â.
Ethereum also saw consistent user growth, averaging 1.56m new users monthly. Arbitrum peaked in May with 3.3m acquired users, fueled by GameFi and SocialFiâ.
Bitcoin usership, however, remained relatively flat despite BTC reaching its historic $100k milestone. This reflects speculative activity rather than meaningful onboarding.
Superusers: Base and Polygon dominate
Flipside terms âsuperuserâ as those who executed 100 or more transactions on a chain, at any point.
Base led the way here with 15.1m wallets executing 100+ transactions, 38% more than Ethereumâs 10.7m superusers. Meanwhile, Polygon recorded 1.5m new superusers in 2024, underscoring its strength outside of DeFi. According to the report, âPolygonâs superuser activity also surpassed that of every other observed chain, with 867.7m monthly super-user transactions.ââ
Ethereum retained its position as the DeFi hub with 10.9m DeFi-related superusers, more than Arbitrum and Optimism combined.
Blastâs surge and sharp decline
Among newly launched chains, Blast made headlines with a record single-month peak of 134.9k acquired users in June. This was driven by its ability to incentivize âa wide range of gamified onchain activities.â
However, the chain experienced a significant user drop-off in Q4. Despite the evident exodus of points farmers from the chain, the report highlights Blastâs upside potential: âThe remaining users are still active on multiple fronts, suggesting that the chain has the potential to outlive, and exceed, its initial hype.â
Uniswapâs DeFi dominance
Uniswap solidified its dominance, capturing 91.3% of DEX activity on Base and increasing its share on Ethereum by 27.72% compared to 2023. This points to a broader trend, âa âwinner-takes-mostâ DeFi market [that] disproportionately favors larger incumbent players with deeper liquidity and brand familiarity,â the authors said.
Meanwhile, LFJ (née Trader Joe) retained its lead on Avalanche, growing its market share by just over 6% from 2023, thanks to innovations like Auto-Pools.
The challenge
While 2024 saw record user acquisition, Flipside emphasizes the need for quality engagement. As the report notes: âBehind the headlines of record user growth lies a deeper challenge: building ecosystems that create meaningful, lasting engagement, not just fleeting speculation.â
For instance, despite Base attracting massive numbers of users, the report underscores the ânarrow range of onchain actions its new user base is currently engaged in,â such as simply gambling on a memecoin or two. Itâs not clear whether apps can execute on the opportunity to redirect users toward deeper activities like DeFi.
Brought to you by:
SKALE, the gas-free invisible blockchain, is âBuilt Differentâ for mass adoption: high-throughput, scalable, and fair. As a network of interoperable EVM-compatible L1s, SKALEâs user experience focus has accelerated a strong ecosystem across gaming, AI, and more. Due to SKALEâs gas-free nature, blockchain can be integrated invisibly, creating accessible Web2-like experiences for users and developers.
SKALE has:
Over 50M UAWs
9 Games on the Epic Games Store
Saved Users over $9.5B on Gas Fees
Polygon vs. Aave
What began as an early stage governance proposal is now a full-blown public spat between project figureheads.
Last week, Polygon governance floated a proposal to invest $1.3 billion idle stablecoin capital from the Polygon PoS bridge into Morphoâs lending vaults. A few days later, Marc Zeller of the Aave-chan Initiative proposed to effectively offboard Aave from the Polygon chain, citing risk vulnerabilities with the bridge.
In response, Polygon co-founder Sandeep Nailwal today accused Polygon of âextremely monopolistic and anti-competitive behaviourâ and criticized Aaveâs seeming hypocrisy for previously showing enthusiasm and âlobbying heavilyâ in the early stages of Polygonâs plans to invest bridged funds. Nailwal suggested that Aaveâs reaction was one of âsour grapesâ in response to the selection of their competitor (Morpho) over them.
Polygon CEO Marc Boiron went one step further to point out Aaveâs governance was âcaptured.â Boiron then praised Morphoâs product as being superior to Aave, with âfewer attack vectors,â and its isolated lending pool model that boasts âsignificantly greater capital efficiencyâ than Aaveâs pooled liquidity model.
Aaveâs Stani Kulechov fired back hours later with two key points. Firstly, Aaveâs infrastructure wouldâve allowed Polygon to create an isolated lending market, akin to Morphoâs model. Second, contrary to Boironâs point, Aaveâs decisions were primarily motivated by the concerns of âinheriting the risk of a third party protocolâ rather than being anti-competitive.
â Donovan Choy (X: @donovanchoy | Farcaster: @donovan)
dYdX has long been at the forefront of DeFi as one of the primary innovators of onchain perpetual futures.
With the launch of dYdX Unlimited on Nov. 19, 2024, the protocol has brought new functionality to the platform that aims to diversify their product suite.
Relative valuation metrics suggest dYdX could be undervalued compared to market leaders, analyst Daniel Shapiro writes in the most recent Blockworks Research report. This indicates that the market is not yet fully appreciating the impact of these recent developments.
Tether has invested in StablR to accelerate European stablecoin adoption. StablRâs MiCA-compliant EURR and USDR launched with a focus on liquidity and compliance. Using Tetherâs Hadron platform, StablR plans to expand network compatibility, providing scalable and interoperable solutions for institutions and merchants.
Plume announced a $20m Series A fundraise today backed by Brevan Howard Digital, Haun Ventures, and others to advance its layer-1 "RWAfi" blockchain. Plume facilitates onchain tokenization and trading of real-world assets. The nascent Plume ecosystem touts more than 180 teams building on its testnet chain as of today.
ENS Labs and Linea Association are partnering to launch Namechain, a custom version of Linea's zkEVM solution, addressing the scaling needs of the Ethereum Name Service. Namechain will bring ENS identity services faster transactions, cost efficiency and decentralization, starting in 2025.
Ink, an Optimism Superchain-based layer-2 from Kraken, has launched its mainnet early, the team announced today. The platform enables token bridging, liquid staking and lending, with plans for permissionless fault proofs in 2025. Backed by a growing developer community, Ink is the latest L2 aiming to improve accessibility and scalability for Ethereum.